Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of Measles in the Presence of Treatment as Control Strategy

Rose Veronica Paul

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Kogi State University, Anyigba. Nigeria.

William Atokolo *

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Kogi State University, Anyigba. Nigeria.

Salawu Ademu Saka

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Kogi State University, Anyigba. Nigeria.

Achonu Omale Joseph

Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Kogi State University, Anyigba. Nigeria.

*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.


Abstract

We present in this research work, mathematical modeling of the transmission dynamics of measles using treatment as a control measure. We determined the Disease Free Equilibrium (DFE) point of the model after which we obtained the Basic Reproduction Number ( R0 ) of the model using the next generation approach. The model Endemic Equilibrium (EE) point was also determined after which we performed Local Stability Analysis(LAS) of the Disease Free Equilibrium point and result shows that the Disease Free Equilibrium point of the model would be stable if ( R0 <1). Global Stability Analysis (GAS) result shows that, ( R0 ≤ 1) remains the necessary and sufficient condition for the infection to go into extinction from a population. We carried out Sensitivity Analysis of the model using the Basic Reproduction Number and we discovered that ( δ , μ, ν , θ ) are sensitive parameters that should be targeted towards control intervention strategy as an increase in these values can reduce the value of ( R0 ) to a value less than unity and such can reduce the spread of measles in a population. Model simulation was carried out using mat lab software to support our analytical results.

Keywords: Measles, Transmission, model, treatment, Control


How to Cite

Paul, Rose Veronica, William Atokolo, Salawu Ademu Saka, and Achonu Omale Joseph. 2021. “Modeling the Transmission Dynamics of Measles in the Presence of Treatment As Control Strategy”. Asian Research Journal of Mathematics 17 (8):76-86. https://doi.org/10.9734/arjom/2021/v17i830324.

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